Shannon traffic figures, first four months of 2012

The Shannon traffic figures for the early part of the year need to be treated with caution. As at other times of the year, the figures show only vessels that passed through locks (and Portumna Bridge), so boats out on the lakes, or on the river between locks, will not be recorded. So the traffic figures don’t tell us the total amount of traffic; their main use is in showing trends from year to year.

The figures for the early months have a further disadvantage. Numbers of passages are low anyway and a single event — especially a weather event like floods, ice or gales — can have a major effect on winter and spring traffic, whereas the effect might be much smaller on the figures for the whole year.

I am grateful to Waterways Ireland for supplying the figures. I have them for each counting point, but won’t give all that detail here.

January 2012: 35
February 2012: 59
March 2012: 642
April 2012: 3316
Total: 4052

To put that in context, here are the figures from 2002 onwards:

Year J F M A YTD 5YMA
2002 10 6 1331 3528 4875  
2003 10 35 644 5515 6204 5157.4
2004 60 52 424 4768 5304 5524.6
2005 13 54 2162 3123 5352 5848.6
2006 37 55 591 5205 5888 5423.4
2007 42 85 698 5670 6495 5358.2
2008 28 44 1377 2629 4078 4991.0
2009 42 82 563 4291 4978 4849.6
2010 30 45 495 2946 3516 4363.o
2011 48 66 512 4555 5181  
2012 35 59 642 3316 4062  

The YTD column is Year To Date; 5YMA is a five-year moving average, which might remove some of the distortion caused by one-off events like ice and floods. I still wouldn’t read too much into four months’ figures, but the general trend is downwards.

 

 

 

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